Political Coalitions  in 2076

Shaping the Next Political realignment to ensure all parties are pro-Democracy.

American political coalitions realign approximately every 30 years. We are currently living through a realignment that is almost complete.

We have an opportunity—with substantial and coordinated cross-sector interventions—to shape the next political realignment to ensure pro-democracy tenets are at the core of the next political realignment.

Strategic Foresight for a Better 2076

In January 2025, we launched our work to detect signals regarding the future of political realignments.

We hosted stakeholder briefings and have recruited 14 membership-based organization representatives, organizers working to prevent authoritarianism, and violent extremism trackers to participate in the process to ensure our findings are informed by and accessible to those best situated to utilize them.

Our Political Coalitions work includes participants across the ideological divide, for example from Asian American Futures to Leaving MAGA in our strategic foresight cohort and insights from founder of the Working Families Party Dan Cantor and center-right think tank R Street informing the work. We cannot assume authoritarianism will come from one party and must prepare for lines of political differences to shift. 

Together, we are refining possible future scenarios and assessing what party-dividing issues may emerge, which values and demographics may unite voters who are likely to align to each party, and what ideologies will underlie the parties including whether they will be pro-democracy or not. Through coordinated cross-sector strategic foresight to identify opportunities and engage our community of practice to pinpoint and iterate interventions, we can shape the next political realignment to ensure pro-democracy tenets are central to all viable political parties.

We will use this process to identify key signposts indicating which scenario we are moving towards and what interventions may set us on the best possible path.

A report with the scenarios and signposts is coming this fall!